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South Africa: Circumcision not a silver bullet Print
The following article by two public health authorities at the University of Capetown, South Africa, throws doubt on recent extavagant claims that universal circumcision is the best and only answer to the southern African AIDS epidemic. Coming from a society which (unlike the developed world) really does have a serious  HIV problem in the general population, the paper is of particular significance.

Male circumcision: The new hope?

A. Myers, J. Myers

South Africa Medical Journal, May 2007


Before we rush to administer the ‘silver bullet’ of circumcision  in the fight against HIV/AIDS, it is important to take a long cool look at the practice, and at the historical and contemporary  rationales for its use.

Circumcision practices

In his book, Circumcision: A History of the World’s Most  Controversial Surgery, [1] medical historian David Gollaher  makes the intriguing suggestion that ‘as the history of female  circumcision suggests, if male circumcision were confined  to developing nations, it would by now have emerged as an  international cause célèbre, stirring passionate opposition from  feminists, physicians, politicians, and the global human rights  community’.

There are clearly ethical issues involved in practising genital  surgery on non-consenting infants and children in a modern  human rights context; however, because male circumcision has  long been familiar in the West, it continues to be justified and  escape scrutiny.

Rationalisations for circumcision

Over the centuries there have been various justifications for  male circumcision. The practice has served in part to identify  those outside the religious/cultural group. The unsubstantiated  rationale is that the circumcised penis is ‘cleaner’ than the  uncircumcised one. This argument is often encountered among  Jews, Muslims and Americans, all of whom circumcise the  majority of males in infancy or childhood, but the notion  is absent for example in Scandinavian countries where  circumcision is rare.

More serious and superficially more convincing justifications  for this surgery, such as ‘health benefits’ or ‘medical’ reasons  have abounded since the mid-19th century. The first medical  justification was that circumcision prevents masturbation, [2]  which Victorians believed led to a range of maladies including  insanity, idiocy, epilepsy, tuberculosis and paralysis. [3] This  claim proved false. At the turn of the 20th century it was  claimed that circumcision prevents sexually transmitted  diseases (STDs), with studies [4] finding differences in the rates  of syphilis and other STDs among Jews and non-Jews. These  early studies did not adjust for confounding factors, and later  well-conducted studies failed to find a protective effect. [5] In  the 1930s circumcision was said to prevent penile cancer. [6]  However, because penile cancer is so rare (every year there is 1  case per 100 000 men in the USA and 0.3/100 000 in Japan [7]), the  American Cancer Society estimates that the number of fatalities  from circumcision would exceed the number of fatalities  from penile cancer. [8] In the 1950s an association was observed  between circumcision and low rates of cervical cancer in  women; however, this finding was not substantiated in further  studies. [9] In the 1980s the new scare was urinary tract infection  in the first year of life. [10] It was argued that the likelihood of this  would be decreased if the infant was circumcised. However,  even accepting this to be true, the absolute risk reduction  is very small (under 1%). [11] Interestingly, girls are far more  susceptible to urinary tract infections than both circumcised  and intact boys. In girls (and in the small number of excess  cases in intact males), antibiotic treatment is effective. It is also  worth noting that none of the abovementioned conditions are  eliminated by circumcision. The most that can possibly be said  is that it offers some degree (often slight) of risk reduction in  the circumcised.

Medical circumcision policy and  practice and practice in Anglophone  countries

As medical justifications for routine infant circumcision have  been steadily overturned, medical organisations in Anglophone  countries (the only countries with a history of medicalised  non-therapeutic or preventive circumcision) formulated policies  that withheld endorsement of routine circumcision of infants,  and accordingly the rates dropped considerably in all but  the USA. The UK stopped coverage of circumcision via the  National Health Service in 1949 because of lack of evidence  of benefit, [12] and the American Academy of Paediatrics (AAP)  stopped endorsement of routine circumcision in 1971, citing  no valid indications. [13] An AAP statement in 1989 elaborated  on risks and benefits, [14] and in its most recent policy statement  in 1999 the AAP reaffirmed that routine circumcision was not  recommended. [15]

Until recently infant male circumcision has been on the  decline, as parents in developed countries began increasingly  to perceive that genital surgery on non-consenting subjects was  not only unnecessary, but also inhumane and out of step with  an evolved human rights culture. Circumcision appeared to  be going the way of other outdated practices such as corporal  and capital punishment and less humane slaughtering and  animal sacrifice practices. In the USA, UK and Israel, small but  increasing numbers of Jews oppose the practice as antiquated,  and refuse to have it done to their infants, despite its religious  and cultural significance. [16-19]

The evidence for HIV prevention

Before the implementation of properly designed randomised  control trials (RCTs), the authoritative Cochrane Review of  recent studies on the subject found ‘insufficient evidence to  support an interventional effect of male circumcision on HIV  acquisition in heterosexual men’. [20] Results of observational  studies were conflicting and no strong association was  observed. However, results of recent RCTs [21-23] examining the  effect of adult male circumcision on the risk of HIV infection  have once again led to renewed medical justifications and calls  for circumcision. [24-27] There have been calls for mass circumcision  campaigns, even though these might be impractical in many  circumstances. Although some commentators have been  careful to emphasise that circumcision has only been shown to  reduce the risk, many lay people are beginning to believe that  circumcision can prevent (in the sense of eliminate) the risk.  Recent RCTs have shown that over a maximum period of  24 months of observation post circumcision, a man’s risk of  contracting HIV is reduced by between 60% (see South African  study [21]) and 53% and 51% (see Kenyan [22] and Ugandan [23] studies)  respectively. Garenne [28] has pointed out that a 60% reduction in  the risk of infection is similar to the effectiveness of the rhythm  method of contraception, which reduces fecundity by around  50% without protecting women against pregnancy.

A circumcised man cannot hope for full immunity to HIV; the  best he can hope for is perhaps a longer period of time and/  or a greater number of sexual encounters before he becomes  infected as a consequence of his reduced risk. The problem is  that if people are led to believe that circumcision is actually  ‘protective’ in the sense of conferring full immunity, this could  be seriously counterproductive, resulting in behavioural  disinhibition in circumcised men and their abandonment of  other preventive methods.

At the population level there is no notable correlation  between circumcision and HIV status. In Europe, where few  men are circumcised, HIV prevalence is the lowest in the world.  In the USA, where most men are circumcised, HIV prevalence  is highest in the developed world. In Ethiopia, despite the  universal practice of circumcision, the number of HIV cases  increased from 0% in 1984 to 7.4% in 1997. [29] In the Eastern  Cape, where most men are circumcised, the prevalence rate is  not meaningfully lower than in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN), where  most men are not circumcised. The pandemic in the former  province appears merely to be lagging behind that in KZN. [28]  While these findings are not incompatible with evidence  from trials showing that circumcision reduces the risk of  HIV transmission, they demonstrate that there are far more  important factors affecting HIV spread than the absence of  circumcision. Actuarial modelling showing the impact that  mass circumcision might have in South Africa provides an  estimate of a modest 9% reduction in the incidence of HIV cases  over the next 10 years [30] (an average risk reduction of less than  1% a year).

Unbalanced circumcision advocacy

The current zeal and naïve enthusiasm for promoting  circumcision as an AIDS prevention tool show lack of regard  for the limited degree of benefit likely. Potential harms include  disinhibition and surgical complications like infection and  worse at the individual level, and increased costs and strain on  thinly stretched health services and the opportunity cost of deemphasising  other crucial health services at the societal level.

Recent research has shown that HIV infection is about three  times more likely as a result of the circumcision procedure itself  in three African settings (Kenya, Lesotho and Tanzania). [31] One  should also not lose sight of the ethical issues of circumcising  non-consenting infants.

Cultural double standards

It is also useful to ask ourselves how consistent attitudes are  in relation to preventive surgery. Hypothetically, imagine that  female circumcision had also been shown to have a similar  ‘protective’ effect. Would we be any more likely to promote  it? Would women be lining up for it, and would young  parents, eager to do the best for their children, request it for  their daughters? If female circumcision was medicalised in a  similar way to male circumcision, it could be made safer and  less damaging. Nevertheless, that sort of argument does not  convince.

Although it is not deemed ethically possible to study female  circumcision by means of a RCT, a large Tanzanian study, which  controlled for confounding variables, found that this practice  reduced HIV transmission. [32] Biologically the explanation for  this is probably the same as for male circumcision.

The downplaying of these facts in the media is a powerful  reflection of Western cultural attitudes. We have already  decided that female circumcision is an appalling human rights  violation and so do not even flirt with the idea of using it as an  HIV prevention tool. Similar arguments apply to mastectomy  in teenage girls, even though this would be effective to prevent  breast cancer in later life. The difference with male circumcision  is that it is still tolerated in Western and other parts of the  world, rendering it politically acceptable. This has tended to  lower ethical barriers to recommending male circumcision as an  HIV/AIDS preventive measure.

Caution and more research are needed

More research is needed into integrated HIV/AIDS management  that examines the long-term preventive effects of circumcision.  Research should focus on the duration of sexual activity  in men (as with the rhythm method of contraception over the  reproductive years of women), the impact on female risk of  acquiring HIV, and on the issue of disinhibition in circumcised  men. The impact on women is a key issue, and recent research  in Uganda shows that female partners of circumcised men  appear twice as likely to contract HIV; [33] while South African  research shows that of the principal group at risk for HIV infection  – 15 - 24-year-olds – a massive 90% of those newly infected  were women. [34] In summary, the evidence for preventive benefit  of male circumcision is rather modest and does not warrant  heroic policies or practices.

References

1. Gollaher D. Circumcision: A History of the World's Most Controversial Surgery. New York: Basic  Books, 2000: Preface, p. xi.

2. Darby R. History of Circumcision. http://www.historyofcircumcision.net/index.  php?option=com_content&task=view&id=31&Itemid=54 (last accessed 12 February 2007).

3. Gollaher D. Circumcision: A History of the World’s Most Controversial Surgery. New York: Basic  Books, 2000: 101-102.

4. Darby R. History of Circumcision. http://www.historyofcircumcision.net/index.php?option  =content&task=view&id=25 (last accessed 12 February 2007).

5. Laumann EO, Masi CM, Zuckerman EW. Circumcision in the United States: Prevalence,  prophylactic effects, and sexual practice. JAMA 1997; 277: 1052-1057.

6. Wolbarst AL. Circumcision and penile cancer. Lancet 1932; 1: 150-153.

7. Laumann EO. The Circumcision Dilemma. Encarta Encyclopaedia Reference Library 2003 (on  CDRom).

8. Gollaher D. Circumcision: A History of the World's Most Controversial Surgery. New York: Basic  Books, 2000: 145 (correspondence H Shingleton and CW Health Jnr (American Cancer Sociey)  to Peter Rappo, American Academy of Paediatrics, 16 February 1996).

9. Van Howe RS. Human papillomavirus and circumcision: A meta-analysis. J Infect 2006; 25  Sep [Epub ahead of print].

10. Ginsberg GM, McCracken GH. Urinary tract infections in young children. Pediatrics 1982; 69:  409-412

11. American Academy of Pediatrics: Circumcision Policy Statement. Pediatrics 1999; 103: 686-  693.

12. Gairdner D. The fate of the foreskin. BMJ 1949; 2:1433-1437.

13. American Academy of Pediatrics, Committee on Fetus and Newborn. Standards and  Recommendation for Hospital Care of Newborn Infants. 5th ed. Evanston, IL: American Academy  of Pediatrics, 1971: 110.

14. Report of the American Academy of Pediatrics Task Force on Circumcision. Pediatrics 1989;  84(4): 388-391.

15. American Academy of Pediatrics: Circumcision Policy Statement. Pediatrics 1999; 103: 686-  693.

16. The Israeli Association Against Genital Mutilation. http://www.britmila.org.il/ (last  accessed 12 February 2007).

17. Brit Shalom Celebrants. http://www.circumstitions.com/Jewish-shalom.html (last accessed  12 February 2007).

18. Jewish Circumcision Resource Center. http://www.jewishcircumcision.org/ (last accessed  12 February 2007).

19. Jews Against Circumcision. http://www.jewsagainstcircumcision.org/ (last accessed 12  February 2007).

20. Siegfried N, Muller M, Volmink J, et al. Male circumcision for prevention of heterosexual  acquisition of HIV in men. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2003, Issue 3. Art. No.:  CD003362. DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD003362.

21. Auvert B, Taljaard D, Lagarde E, et al. Randomized, Controlled Intervention Trial of Male  Circumcision for Reduction of HIV Infection Risk: The ANRS 1265 Trial. Public Library of  Science Medicine 2005; 2: e298.

22. Bailey RC, Moses S, Parker CB, et al. Male circumcision for HIV prevention in young men in  Kisumu, Kenya: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2007; 369: 643-656.

23. Gray RH, Kigozi G, Serwadda D, et al. Male circumcision for HIV prevention in men in  Rakai, Uganda: a randomised trial. Lancet 2007; 369: 657-666.

24. Beresford B. It's the end of the foreskin as we know it. http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.  aspx?articleid=293523&area=/insight/insight__national/ (last accessed 12 February 2007).

25. Coates TJ. Seven Aids goals for 2010. http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=29182  2&area=/insight/insight__comment_and_analysis/ (last accessed 12 February 2007).

26. Zaheer K. UN urges circumcision in AIDS-hit Southern Africa. http://www.mg.co.za/  articlePage.aspx?articleid=293970&area=/breaking_news/breaking_news__africa/ (last  accessed 12 February 2007).

27. Blandy F. Circumcision fever begins to sweep Swaziland. http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.  aspx?articleid=297770&area=/breaking_news/breaking_news__africa/ (last accessed 12  February 2007).

28. Garenne M. Male circumcision and HIV control in Africa. Public Library of Science Medicine  2006; 3: Issue 1, Jan.

29. Berhan T. Presentation on HIV and AIDS in Ethiopia. http://www.aids.harvard.edu/conferences_events/1999/ethiopia/tebebe.pdf (last accessed 12 February 2007).

30. Johnson LF, Dorrington RE. Assessment of HIV vaccine requirements and effects of HIV  vaccination in South Africa, 2006. http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/Research%5FUnits/care/  (last accessed 12 February 2007).

31. Brewer D, Potterat J, Roberts J, Brody S. Male and female circumcision associated with  prevalent HIV infection in virgins and adolescents in Kenya, Lesotho and Tanzania. Ann  Epidemiol 2007; 17: 217-226.

32. Stallings RY, Karugendo E. Female circumcision and HIV infection in Tanzania: for better or  for worse. 3rd International AIDS Society Conference, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 24-27 July 2005.

33. Nake, J. Uganda: Male circumcision hits snag with new research. http://allafrica.com/stories/200703140331.html (last accessed 4 April 2007)

34. Rehle T, Shisana O, Pillay V, Zuma K, Puren A, Parker W. National HIV incidence measures:  new insights into the South African epidemic. S Afr Med J 2007; 97: 194-199.

Authors

A. Myers is a humanities student at the University of Cape Town, South Africa, and has researched the history and practice of circumcision.

J. Myers is Professor of Public Health at UCT, and is interested in the reduction of the provincial burden of disease.

South Africa Medical Journal, Vol. 97, No. 5, May 2007





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